How to Judge Broker or Analyst Recommendations?
Judging Your Broker's
Recommendations
Brokers issue their recommendations (advice) as a general
idea of how much regard they have for a particular stock. The following list
presents the basic recommendations (or ratings) and what they mean to you:
·
Strong buy
and buy: Hot diggity
dog! This is the one to get. The analyst loves this pick, and you would be very
wise to get a bunch of shares. The thing to keep in mind, however, is that buy
recommendations are about as common as snow in Alaska.
·
Accumulate and market perform: An analyst
who issues these types of recommendations is positive, yet unexcited, about the
pick. This is akin to asking a friend if he likes your new suit and getting the
one-word response "nice" in a monotone voice. It's a polite reply,
but you wish the opinion had been more enthusiastic.
·
Hold or neutral: Analysts use this
language when their back is to the wall but they still won't say, "Sell
that loser!" This is like when your mother told you to be nice and either
say something positive or keep your mouth shut. In this case, this is the
analyst's way of keeping his mouth shut.
·
Sell: Many analysts
should have issued this recommendation during 2000 and 2001, but few actually
uttered it. What a shame. So many investors lost money because some analysts
were either too nice or just afraid to be honest and sound the alarm and urge
people to sell.
·
Avoid like the plague: Too bad
this recommendation isn't really available. Throughout history, plenty of
stocks have been purely dreadful investments — stocks of companies that made no
money and were in terrible financial condition that should never have been
considered at all. Yet investors gobbled up billions of dollars' worth of
stocks that eventually became worthless.
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