Impact of Falling Rupee Fundamentals............
1. With the rupee hitting a new low almost every other day,
Indians are likely to face a lot of pressure on their household
budgets.
2. For starters, imports get costlier as we pay more for
products such as oil, gold, fertilisers, machines, personal
computers and mobiles, among others.
1. With the rupee hitting a new low almost every other day,
Indians are likely to face a lot of pressure on their household
budgets.
2. For starters, imports get costlier as we pay more for
products such as oil, gold, fertilisers, machines, personal
computers and mobiles, among others.
3. Your wallet will also shrink if you are planning a foreign
tour or thinking of taking up educational courses abroad as
these will be more expensive in Indian rupees.
4. Major imported things like Gold, Crude Oil, Food Items,
Capital Goods, Machinery will cost you more.
5. Companies who have to pay international loans, will suffer
loss because they need to pay more rupees to buy dollar to
repay.
6. A depreciating rupee makes imports of component, capital
goods and raw materials more expensive. As inputs and
other equipment that are imported get costlier, margins get
reduced to that extent. Companies with a high import
component and those with foreign currency borrowings may
be marked down in the stock market as the rupee
depreciates.
7. Products that are directly imported, such as crude oil,
fertilisers, pharmaceutical products, ores and metals, or use
imported components such as Personal Computers and
laptops, become more expensive following rupee
depreciation.
A major chunk of the components in computers, viz.,
processor, hard disk drive and motherboard, is imported.
Products such as mouse, keyboard and monitor would also
witness a discernible impact on their prices on account of
rupee depreciation. As the input costs increase, inflation may
rise in the economy.
Depreciating rupee thus has an adverse impact on the
inflation in the Indian economy, which is currently a major
cause of concern for the RBI and the Industry alike.
To summarise, a falling rupee hurts you in the following way:
- Prices of products - especially oil – could go up hurting your wallet.
- Investments in companies with foreign borrowings or which are exposed to currency fluctuations due to their business models can suffer.
How to protect ?
So, how can you protect against the falling rupee? For Indian
residents, ensure you have at least some exposure to
overseas assets like mutual funds. Over the last few years, a
host of feeder funds and international index-based exchange
traded funds have made their debut in India. Depending on
the outlook for some these countries, investors could do well
to take an exposure to these funds. A host of these
international funds have a minimum investment of just
around Rs 5,000.
Diversify your stock holdings, too. If you have companies
that are largely export-oriented in your portfolio, you could
take advantage of a falling rupee as these companies begin
to report higher profits and thus see an increase in their
market value.
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